The Power of Commodities: Use Volatility To Diversify Your Portfolio

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Definition

Prices are often affected by supply and demand factors. Geopolitical events, natural disasters, and many other factors must be taken into account.

Types and Examples

Commodities can be categorized into four main groups: Energy, metals, agriculture, and livestock.

Let’s take a closer look at each of these groups and some examples.

Energy

Energy commodities are used to produce energy.

Commonly oil, natural gas, coal, and uranium. They are influenced by geopolitical events, natural disasters, and supply and demand factors.

Metals

They are often used in manufacturing and construction. Prices are influenced by economic indicators. In most cases geopolitical events, and supply and demand factors are the main factors.

Agriculture

Agricultural commodities include corn, wheat, soybeans, cotton, sugar, and coffee.

Prices are influenced by weather patterns, natural disasters, and supply and demand factors.

Livestock

Livestock commodities include cattle, hogs, and feeder cattle.

Supply and demand are the key factors affecting prices. Most common are weather patterns and other factors that affect animal production.

Commodity investment types

Let’s take a look at the following table that outlines the definitions: How they work, pros and cons, and common price influences

Type of InvestmentDefinitionHow it WorksProsConsCommon Price Influences
Physical CommoditiesBuying actual commodities such as gold bars or oil barrelsThe investor takes possessionProtection against inflation, Portfolio diversificationStorage costs, Requires physical storage spaceSupply and demand, geopolitical events
Commodity FuturesAgreement to buy/sell commodities at a future date at a predetermined priceFutures contracts can be bought or sold on exchangesProvides liquidity, Lower margin requirementsHigh risk, Requires knowledge and experience in tradingSupply and demand, economic indicators
Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs)Investment fund that tracks the price or basket of commoditiesETFs are traded on stock exchanges like stocksLow costs, Diversification, No physical storage space requiredETFs may not track the price accuratelyPrices, Supply and demand
Mutual FundsInvestment fund that invests in a range of commoditiesManaged by a professional portfolio managerPortfolio diversification, Professional managementHigh fees, No direct ownership of commoditiesPrices, Economic indicators

Pros and Cons

Pros

Cons

High volatility: Commodities can be highly volatile. Prices fluctuate significantly in response to various factors.

High risk: Investing can be risky, as prices can be affected by factors outside of an investor’s control. Natural disasters and geopolitical events are the most known.

Lack of income: Unlike stocks and bonds, there are no dividends or interest. This means investors may not receive regular income from their investments.

Physical storage costs: For investors who choose to invest in gold bars or oil barrels. Storage and security may add additional costs.

Mining

Traditional mining involves physically extracting natural resources from earth. Typically projects operate in remote locations.

Companies typically need to consult local experts and establish a local contact network. This helps to gather data and search for potential mining sites. Staying informed on news and foreign policies is also important, as it can impact mining operations.

Physical presence at mining locations often means the application of foreign policies. It’s important to obtain mining permits, to operate legally.

Additionally, companies may collect sensitive data during the mining process. So, it’s necessary to establish online and privacy policies to protect data. Companies often collect sensitive data that needs to be protected.

For example, a mining company may collect data on the mineral content of a site and use this to inform its operations. They need to ensure that data is stored securely and not shared with unauthorized parties.

A mining company can also make money by trading commodity contracts. This is possible when favorable terms for trading mined commodities are found. Staying informed on rates and index information around the world is key for making profits.

Utilizing credit and business contacts also helps to negotiate advantageous rates and contracts for buying and selling products. Ultimately, the goal is to generate profits through effective trading strategies.

Commodity Speculators

Speculators are investors who aim to profit from short-term price movements. These investors do not have a direct interest but seek to profit from fluctuations in price.

Here are the steps involved in speculation:

1. Identify a commodity with potential for price movement: Speculators often use technical analysis to identify volatile commodities. 

2. Determine the appropriate investment strategy: They may use a range of strategies. Futures contracts, options, and ETFs, to invest in commodities are common.

3. Track market trends and events: Speculators must stay up-to-date with market trends, global events, and economic indicators. Everything can impact the price of their asset.

4. Execute trades: They must be prepared to execute trades quickly. Price movements can occur rapidly in commodity markets.

While speculation can offer the potential for high returns, it is important for investors to be aware of the risks involved. Risks include market volatility, high transaction costs, and the potential for losses.

Commodities and Derivatives

Commodities and derivatives are closely linked. Derivative contracts are often used as a way to invest in commodities indirectly. A derivative is a financial instrument whose value is derived from an underlying asset.

One common example of a commodity derivative is a futures contract. A futures contract is an agreement between two parties to buy or sell a commodity at a specific price on a future date. These contracts allow investors to speculate on the future price of a commodity. Notably without actually owning the underlying asset.

For example, imagine an investor believes the price of gold will increase over the next six months. Investors could purchase a futures contract for gold at the current price. The delivery date will be six months in the future. If the price of gold increases over the next six months, the investor can sell the contract at a profit.

How to Invest Step by Step

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There are several ways to invest in commodity stocks:

Buying directly, investing in mutual funds or ETFs, and investing in derivatives.

Here is a step-by-step guide for each approach:

Buy Directly

Investors can buy shares in companies that produce or mine directly. Mining companies or oil exploration firms are common targets for investments.

To invest in these stocks directly, follow these steps:

a. Research companies that produce or mine your chosen commodity.

b. Open a brokerage account with a broker that allows you to invest in individual stocks.

c. Buy shares in the companies you have identified.

Mutual Funds and ETFs

Investors can invest in mutual funds or ETFs that track indexes or baskets.

To invest in stocks through mutual funds or ETFs, follow these steps:

a. Research mutual funds or ETFs that track indexes or baskets.

b. Open a brokerage account with a broker that offers access to mutual funds or ETF

c. Purchase shares of the mutual funds or ETFs you have identified.

Invest in Derivatives

Investors can also invest in derivatives contracts. Futures contracts or options are most known, to gain exposure to commodities.

To invest in stocks through derivatives, follow these steps:

a. Research the types of derivatives contracts available for the commodity you are interested in investing in.

b. Open a brokerage account with a broker that offers access to derivatives contracts.

c. Buy the derivatives contracts that you have identified.

Commodity money

Commodity money is a type of currency that is backed by a physical commodity, such as gold or silver. This means that the currency has intrinsic value because it is made up of a valuable commodity. So it can be traded for that commodity at a fixed exchange rate.

How it Works

A government or central authority issues currency notes that represent a fixed amount. For example, a $10 note might represent 1 ounce of gold. The currency can be used to purchase goods and services, just like any other currency. The value of the currency is directly tied to the value of the commodity that backs it. If the value increases, the value of the currency also increases.

Pros and Cons

Pros

It can provide a stable store of value and protect against inflation. The value of the currency is tied to the value of the underlying commodity making it undependable. This can make it a more attractive option for investors. Especially those who are concerned about the value of fiat currency.

Additionally, it can be difficult to manipulate the supply because it is backed by a physical commodity.

Cons

However, prices can be volatile and subject to sudden changes in supply and demand, which can cause the value of the currency to fluctuate.

Also it can be difficult to regulate the supply of currency. Being tied to a physical commodity can lead to problems. Especially if the supply of the commodity is limited or difficult to obtain problems can occur.

Difference from the Stock Market

Commodity money is not traded on stock exchanges. It’s a physical commodity that is used as a medium of exchange. However, commodities that back commodity money, such as gold or silver, can be traded on a stock exchange as a form of investment. They are commonly traded on commodity exchanges, which are different from stock exchanges. These exchanges allow investors to buy and sell physical commodities.

Gold or silver and future contracts, are agreements to buy or sell at a future date and price. These futures contracts are often traded on exchanges. Futures can provide investors with exposure. An underlying commodity doesn’t need to be taken physically.

In summary, it’s a type of currency that is backed by a physical commodity. It can provide a stable store of value and protect against inflation, but it also has some downsides to be aware of. While it’s not traded on a stock exchange, they can be traded on commodity exchanges, which are different from stock exchanges.

Conclusion

Investing can offer investors a range of benefits. Diversification, inflation protection, and the potential for high returns are notable. 

But, it is important for investors to be aware of the risks involved. High volatility, market risk, and lack of income can be crucial to ignore. Investors should also carefully consider their investment goals and risk tolerance.

As of my experience owning Gold is a good asset to hold in crisis.

FAQ

Is commodity investing risky?

Yes, it’s risky to invest in a commodity. Prices can be highly volatile and subject to unpredictable market forces. Geopolitical events, supply and demand imbalances, and weather patterns can affect prices.

For example, imagine there is a drought and crop yields are low. The price of agricultural commodities such as wheat or corn could rise rapidly. All in all, leading to potential gains or losses for investors.

What are hot commodities?

Lithium is a hot commodity due to its use in rechargeable batteries. Electric vehicles and energy storage systems are common usages. Copper is in high demand due to its use in construction and infrastructure projects. Electronics and electric vehicles are also common. Tin is used in a variety of applications. Electronics and soldering are the most known.

Tantalum is used in electronic devices and aerospace applications. It’s considered a critical mineral. Like Tin it’s important to various industries.

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